Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 75.3%
Previsores
42
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado2/02/26, 19:42 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Resolution criteria
- Market will follow official US arrest documentation/reports.
- Considerations
- Assuming the arrest isn't an obvious psyop/scapegoat/coverup market will follow official US arrest documentation/reports.
- This description was generated by AI.
Mercados abertos
US Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 592,5 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.6pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.5pt91%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 220,4 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 24,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 214,6 mil
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any Epstein client be arrested in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 75% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any Epstein client be arrested in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will any Epstein client be arrested in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will any Epstein client be arrested in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria