Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
0.8 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffAmérica LatinaCrime e justiça2m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar · —
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Livro recebido (não a hora da cotação da plataforma): —
Referência guardada
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar 17%Líder entre 8 opções
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar 17%Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
931,5 €
Liquidez
57,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
— / —
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán SalazarSpread
—
Comentários
2
Variação 7d
-8.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
24/02/26, 01:24 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
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Audias Flores-SilvaGanhou
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
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- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 0,1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Não
Profundidade de mercado · Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
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KalshiWho will be arrested before 2027?
PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.