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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Bitcoin
  3. Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

0.5% (24h)BitcoinOne-Off6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 71%
Qualidade do mercado

91 / 100

Alta qualidade
Volume 24h

969,7 €

Liquidez

31,5 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

70.0% / 72.0%

Spread

2.9%

Spread apertado
Variação 7d

+3.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

6/01/26, 22:4931/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes71%

Manifold MarketsTambém disponível em Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

Nothing Ever Happens 2026

6m
Manifold Markets
Sim
70%
Manifold Markets
Não
30%
Previsão da comunidade20 previsoresTipo: binary
Volume total518,2 €
Volume 24h2,7 €
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Regras

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:

Polymarket
  • - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+)
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

Mercados Relacionados

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Bitcoin $100k before End of June 2026?

2,2 mil €
Sim: 1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

2 mil €
Sim: 3%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Bitcoin below $55K in 2026?

1,4 mil €
Sim: 61.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

1,1 mil €
Sim: 8%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

935,6 €
Before July 2026: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,699.85+1.89%ChainlinkLINK$7.77+0.30%EthereumETH$1,654.12+1.26%SolanaSOL$65.02+1.09%BNBBNB$596.22+1.56%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.07%

Notícias Relacionadas

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsWintermute warns Bitcoin lacks inflows needed to confirm market bottomCrypto NewsBitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsNot All Bitcoin ETF Inflows Are Equal: CryptoQuant Maps the Real Drivers Behind Institutional MoneyBlockchain ReporterBitcoin may act as a ‘canary in the coal mine’ as risk-off pressure spreads: BitwiseCointelegraph‘Bitcoin to zero’ searches just hit a record. Could it happen?Crypto News

Regras

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:

Polymarket
  • - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+)
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf