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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Bitcoin
  3. Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

BitcoinOne-OffCripto6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Nothing
Nothing 96%
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

21,6 €

Liquidez

6,5 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

92.0% / 100.0%

Spread

8.7%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+2.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

11/02/26, 20:1531/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Nothing96%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

Polymarket
  • - Satoshi moves any Bitcoin - Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
  • Satoshi moves any Bitcoin
  • This market will resolve to “Something” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time during this market's above-specified time frame.
  • The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto

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Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

1,1 mil €
Sim: 8%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

432,3 €
December 31: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

309,8 €
December 31, 2026: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When Will Bitcoin cross $100,000 again?

76,1 €
Before March 31 11.59pm 2026 est: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
When will Bitcoin have its next halving?

When will Bitcoin have its next halving?

2,2 €
Before Apr 2028: 47%KalshiKALSHI
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?

0,1 €
Sim: 6%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,978.79+2.53%ChainlinkLINK$7.80+0.93%EthereumETH$1,661.11+1.78%SolanaSOL$65.42+1.74%XRPXRP$1.12+0.44%BNBBNB$597.15+1.83%

Notícias Relacionadas

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsWintermute warns Bitcoin lacks inflows needed to confirm market bottomCrypto NewsBitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsNot All Bitcoin ETF Inflows Are Equal: CryptoQuant Maps the Real Drivers Behind Institutional MoneyBlockchain ReporterBitcoin may act as a ‘canary in the coal mine’ as risk-off pressure spreads: BitwiseCointelegraph‘Bitcoin to zero’ searches just hit a record. Could it happen?Crypto News

Regras

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

Polymarket
  • - Satoshi moves any Bitcoin - Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
  • Satoshi moves any Bitcoin
  • This market will resolve to “Something” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time during this market's above-specified time frame.
  • The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto