PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Nothing 97%-0.1pt
Qualidade do mercado
65 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
39,5 €
Liquidez
12,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
96.3% / 97.7%
Spread
1.4 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
4
Variação 7d
+0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
11/02/26, 20:15 UTC31/12/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketWill we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
Manifold MarketsWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?
KalshiRegras
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- - Satoshi moves any Bitcoin - Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
- Satoshi moves any Bitcoin
- This market will resolve to “Something” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time during this market's above-specified time frame.
- The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto
Mercados abertos
BitcoinPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- 72,000+0.3pt100%
- 74,000+0.9pt100%
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- Volume 24h
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- $69,000 or above99%
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- $74,750 or above99%
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- Volume 24h
- € 317,4 mil
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- 70,000-0.3pt100%
- 72,000+0.7pt99%
- 74,000+0.3pt98%
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- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto?
- A Polymarket cota Nothing em 97% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto é resolvido?
- Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: