KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atualBefore July 2026 2%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
908,1 €
Liquidez
24,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
- / 2.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
5/01/26, 20:001/01/27, 5:00
Resultado escolhido
Before July 20262%
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
When Will Bitcoin cross $100,000 again?
6m
0%
25%
0%
+6 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade17 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
Volume total6,3 mil €
Volume 24h76,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 01/05/2026 03:00 PM and before May 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
- The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
- If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
- If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No.
- The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 01/05/2026 03:00 PM and before May 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
- The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
- If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
- If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No.
- The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.