LimitlessVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo
Dados de 4 de set. de 2026, 08:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 93.5%
Qualidade do mercado
30 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
26/08/26, 13:051/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only the transfer of sovereignty, or the acquisition of primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control qualifies.
1.
- Transfer of Sovereignty: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument results in a defined area of Greenland coming under the formal sovereignty of the U.S. (e.g., incorporated as a U.S. state, territory, possession, or other U.S. political classification), even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
2.
- Acquisition of Primary or Exclusive Jurisdiction or Control: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument establishes a defined area in Greenland in which the U.S. has primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over the territory, such that the ordinary legal authority of Denmark and Greenland do not apply,except by U.S. permission.
- Such agreements or instruments will qualify even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
3.
- Use of Force: If the U.S. acquires primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over a defined area of Greenland through force, this will also qualify.
An announcement will qualify only if it is accompanied by or consists of a binding agreement or legal instrument (e.g., enacted legislation, a signed treaty, the signed text of an agreement, or an executive action implementing such an agreement) that unambiguously creates a transfer of sovereignty, or primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control, even if this transfer or acquisition takes effect after the market deadline.
Non-binding statements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or MOUs will not alone qualify.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
3 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 7%. As cotações diferem cerca de 8 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 7% · 3 plataformas · 8 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 86%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 93%
- Também disponível em PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026??
- A Limitless cota No em 94% em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Limitless liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: <p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Onde mais Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Futuur, Manifold Markets, Polymarket, PredictIt.