Trump/EUA irão comprar ou adquirir parte da Groenlândia?
Eventos corporativosOne-OffPolítica dos EUA2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.4%
Previsores
1,270
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado7/01/25, 16:02 UTC21/01/29, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Donald Trump has expressed interest in purchasing at least part of Greenland.
- If the United States acquires at least part of Greenland before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves YES.
- Update 2025-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Acquisition Criteria:
- The market will resolve YES if Greenland becomes a US territory or if the US government or one of its constituent agencies acquires any portion of Greenland.
- This acquisition must involve government ownership of the land, not merely private or academic entities (for example, a science lab established by Harvard University does not qualify).
- Update 2026-01-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator emphasizes that this market is about whether Greenland or a meaningful portion of it becomes part of America, not about minor acquisitions like a single building or small plot of land.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? · Before January 21, 2029 22%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 98%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 97%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 55%