Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 92.2%
Previsores
1,262
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado7/01/25, 16:02 UTC21/01/29, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
Donald Trump has expressed interest in purchasing at least part of Greenland.
- If the United States acquires at least part of Greenland before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves YES.
- Update 2025-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Acquisition Criteria:
- The market will resolve YES if Greenland becomes a US territory or if the US government or one of its constituent agencies acquires any portion of Greenland.
- This acquisition must involve government ownership of the land, not merely private or academic entities (for example, a science lab established by Harvard University does not qualify).
- Update 2026-01-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator emphasizes that this market is about whether Greenland or a meaningful portion of it becomes part of America, not about minor acquisitions like a single building or small plot of land.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? · Before January 20, 2029 23%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 98%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 97%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 55%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Trump/EUA irão comprar ou adquirir parte da Groenlândia??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 92% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Trump/EUA irão comprar ou adquirir parte da Groenlândia? é resolvido?
- Trump/EUA irão comprar ou adquirir parte da Groenlândia? deverá ser resolvido em 21 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Trump/EUA irão comprar ou adquirir parte da Groenlândia? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Donald Trump has expressed interest in purchasing at least part of Greenland.
- Onde mais Trump/EUA irão comprar ou adquirir parte da Groenlândia? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi, Manifold Markets, Polymarket, Limitless.