Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?
One-OffGeopolíticaUS PoliticsPolítica2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 89.1%
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 horas
Desatualizado25/01/26, 16:01 UTC20/01/29, 17:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
KalshiWill Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
KalshiWill Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRegras
Will the United States, by 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time on January 20, 2029, have taken steps that place Greenland or part of it under U.S. governing authority?
- For purposes of this market, “part of Greenland” means a defined geographic area of Greenlandic land territory together with the civilian population ordinarily residing there.
- The exercise of authority limited solely to any of the following does not, by itself, constitute being “in charge of part of Greenland”:
- Airspace, territorial waters, exclusive economic zones, or maritime navigation
- Ports, harbors, or customs facilities absent broader civil governance of the surrounding land area
- Security zones, exclusion zones, or access controls established solely for military or diplomatic purposes
Mercados abertos
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 363 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Volume total
- € 9,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 245,5 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 62,8 mi
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029? é resolvido?
- Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will the United States, by 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time on January 20, 2029, have taken steps that place Greenland or part of it under U.S. governing authority?