KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualBefore January 21, 2029 23%
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
26 mil €
Liquidez
480,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
26.0% / 29.0%
Spread
11.5%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
9/01/25, 18:0021/01/29, 15:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Before January 21, 202923%
Comparar plataformas· Before January 21, 2029
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral82% de correspondência · vinculado | Alta | 96% | — | 14,3 mil € | 210,4 mil € | há 11 minutos | Abrir → |
| Kalshi82% de correspondência · vinculado | Alta | 16% | — | 215,5 € | 717,7 mil € | há 11 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta páginaMais ativa | Média | 23% | — | 26 mil € | 480,4 mil € | há 11 minutos | |
 Limitless82% de correspondência · vinculado | Baixa | 95% | — | 0 € | 0 € | há 11 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets82% de correspondência · vinculado | — | 94% | — | — | — | há 5 dias | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets78% de correspondência · verificado | — | 95% | — | — | — | há 38 dias | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets82% de correspondência · verificado | — | 91% | — | — | — | ontem | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5m
96%
4%
100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total30,8 M €
Volume 24h14,3 mil €
POLYMARKETTambém disponível em Kalshi
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
0.3%5m
16%
-0.3%6%
0%
83 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidez
Volume total4,4 M €
Volume 24h215,5 €
KALSHITambém disponível em Limitless
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5m
94.6%
5.5%
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total22 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
2a
91%
9%
Previsão da comunidade1.259 previsoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5m
94.1%
5.9%
Previsão da comunidade13 previsoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
2a
95.3%
4.7%
Previsão da comunidade41 previsoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.3k95.4%POLYMARKETWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — NoChasingPaperhá 7 dias
POLYMARKETWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — NoChasingPaperhá 7 dias$1.1k93.3%KALSHIBefore 2027 — Nohá 17 dias
KALSHIBefore 2027 — Nohá 17 dias$1.5k95.4%POLYMARKETNoNxbYidhá 23 dias
POLYMARKETNoNxbYidhá 23 diasTendência de volume
$29.6k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.