Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 97.2%
Previsores
144
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado7/01/26, 11:13 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
KalshiWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US control part of Greenland in 2026?
FutuurWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
LimitlessWill the US take control of any part of Greenland?
KalshiWill Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT, the United States acquires sovereignty or primary/exclusive jurisdiction or control over any defined land territory in Greenland through a binding legal instrument (e.g., treaty, enacted legislation, or executive action), including via force.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
- Only binding actions that unambiguously transfer sovereignty or establish primary/exclusive U.S. jurisdiction qualify, even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
- Non-binding statements, negotiations, MOUs, basing/access agreements, SOFA/COFA-type arrangements, leases, or commercial concessions do not qualify.
- Any U.S. rights or control existing at market creation (Jan 7, 2026, 3:11 PT) will not count.
- The primary resolution source will be official statements or legal instruments from the U.S., Denmark, or Greenland, with a consensus of credible reporting used if necessary.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 90%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- Também disponível em PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
