Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
1.5 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolíticaMiddle East3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Steve Witkoff 33%+1.0ptLíder entre 20 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
8,5 mil €
Liquidez
243 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+1.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
12/08/26, 23:15 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
- Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments.
- The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
- Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves.
