Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026?
One-OffRússia / UcrâniaGeopolítica4d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 97.1%
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16
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Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado6/09/26, 08:24 UTC1/11/26, 00:00 UTC
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On September 5, 2026, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Vladimir Putin at the Kremlin for about five hours and then travelled on to Kyiv.
- Their stated goal was to restart direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations, which have been suspended for six months.
- Russia and Ukraine agreed to a three-day pause on strikes against Kyiv and Moscow so the American delegation could travel safely between the two capitals.
- No agreement came out of the Kremlin meeting; Putin said he has "full trust" in US mediation.
- This market asks whether the two governments actually sit down together.
- RESOLVES YES if, on or before 2026-10-31 23:59 UTC, Reuters or the Associated Press reports that officials representing the government of Russia and officials representing the government of Ukraine met IN PERSON, in the same room, at talks whose reported subject includes ending the war, a ceasefire, or a peace settlement.
