Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026?
One-OffRussia / UkraineGeopolítica1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 74.8%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
6/09/26, 08:24 UTC1/11/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
Polymarket[PROP BETS] New US-Iran Peace Talks
Manifold MarketsWill the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days?
Manifold MarketsNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
LimitlessWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
PolymarketWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
PolymarketRegras
On September 5, 2026, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Vladimir Putin at the Kremlin for about five hours and then travelled on to Kyiv.
- Their stated goal was to restart direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations, which have been suspended for six months.
- Russia and Ukraine agreed to a three-day pause on strikes against Kyiv and Moscow so the American delegation could travel safely between the two capitals.
- No agreement came out of the Kremlin meeting; Putin said he has "full trust" in US mediation.
- This market asks whether the two governments actually sit down together.
- RESOLVES YES if, on or before 2026-10-31 23:59 UTC, Reuters or the Associated Press reports that officials representing the government of Russia and officials representing the government of Ukraine met IN PERSON, in the same room, at talks whose reported subject includes ending the war, a ceasefire, or a peace settlement. - The seniority of the delegations does not matter. - A meeting mediated or attended by third parties (the United States, Turkey, others) still counts, so long as Russian and Ukrainian officials are both physically present.
Mercados abertos
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 473 mil
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.6pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 mais resultados
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.5pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.0pt6%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354+2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-5.0pt22.7%
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change-1.0pt68.7%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.3%
- Increase-1.3pt3%
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 75% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: On September 5, 2026, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Vladimir Putin at the Kremlin for about five hours and then travelled on to Kyiv.