Will Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaRussia / UkraineEurope3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31, 6%-1.0ptLíder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
69 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
959,1 €
Liquidez
57,8 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
64
Variação 7d
-0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 minutos
28/05/25, 22:16 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Perdeu
Perdeu
Antes do encerramento: 0% ·
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country between May 28 and the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
- Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
