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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

2.0% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Dopropillia
Dopropillia 36%-1.0%
Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado

80 / 100

Alta qualidade
Volume 24h

612,9 €

Liquidez

46,8 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

20.0% / 21.0%

Spread

5.0%

Spread moderado
Variação 7d

-1.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

11/05/26, 20:1431/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Dopropillia36%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.