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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

4.0% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31
December 31 12%-4.0%
Qualidade do mercado

73 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

22,3 mil €

Liquidez

106,4 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

9.1%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-4.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

23/09/25, 23:2431/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

December 3112%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Territory will will be considered captured if any part of Crimea shaded blue on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • The border around Crimea shaded in black on the ISW map will not qualify.
  • Once Ukraine captures territory in Crimea, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
  • If Ukraine comes into control of territory in Crimea as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded blue in the ISW map.

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Territory will will be considered captured if any part of Crimea shaded blue on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • The border around Crimea shaded in black on the ISW map will not qualify.
  • Once Ukraine captures territory in Crimea, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
  • If Ukraine comes into control of territory in Crimea as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded blue in the ISW map.