Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
3.0 pts (24h)RegulamentaçãoOne-OffTrade PolicyPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição22d
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 86%-3.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
42 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
86,9 €
Liquidez
172,9 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
79.0% / 86.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
1/09/26, 14:00 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
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If the President announces a new trade deal before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:New York TimesBloombergthe White Housethe Office of the United States Trade RepresentativeReutersAssociated Pressthe President of the United States
- For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
- Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
- Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
- It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
- New arrangements include, but are not limited to:
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Yes em 86% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the President announces a new trade deal before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.