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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Regulamentação
  3. Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

RegulamentaçãoOne-OffPolíticaUS Politics19d
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before July 2026
Before July 2026 1%
Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

15,1 €

Liquidez

6,1 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

0.6% / 1.2%

Spread

100.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

17/12/25, 18:001/07/26, 3:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Before July 20261%

Regras

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
  • Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
  • Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I.
  • The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
  • The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,812.72+2.63%EthereumETH$1,656.80+2.36%SolanaSOL$65.17+2.67%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.86%XRPXRP$1.12+0.93%BNBBNB$599.08+2.48%

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Regras

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
  • Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
  • Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I.
  • The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
  • The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.