Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?

15.0% (24h)RegulamentaçãoOne-OffPolítica13d

KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximada

Probabilidade implícita atual

Sim 55%+15.0%

Qualidade do mercado

89 / 100

Alta qualidade

Volume 24h

11 mil €

Liquidez

37,7 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venda

55.0% / 57.0%

Spread

3.6%

Spread moderado

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 20 minutos

10/07/26, 18:378/08/26, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Yes55%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

If the Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act after Issuance and before Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes
The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, unless the bill/motion specifically refers to a committee vote Procedural determinations by the presiding officer Deemed passage without an actual vote
For clarity: A vote on cloture regarding the bill/motion, including cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion, DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on the rule governing debate of the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion if the bill/motion specifically refers to that rule A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on final passage DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on an amendment to the bill/motion does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion unless the bill/motion specifically refers to that amendment

Grandes negociações

$1.3k76.0%

KALSHIYesanteontem

Tendência de volume

$12.6k

10 de jul.17d de dados26 de jul.

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How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

387,3 €

Above 50: 44%

KALSHI

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Notícias Relacionadas

HashKey MENA Secures VARA Approval for Crypto Derivatives as Regulated Futures Market GrowsBlockchain Reporter

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk

Regras

If the Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act after Issuance and before Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes
The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, unless the bill/motion specifically refers to a committee vote Procedural determinations by the presiding officer Deemed passage without an actual vote
For clarity: A vote on cloture regarding the bill/motion, including cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion, DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on the rule governing debate of the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion if the bill/motion specifically refers to that rule A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on final passage DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on an amendment to the bill/motion does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion unless the bill/motion specifically refers to that amendment