PredictItVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução não verificadosRetail prediction exchange
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 75%
Metodologia
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo de pergunta
-
Volume 24h
—
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
22/07/26, 13:381/10/26, 3:59
Tendências
Regras
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on July 22, 2026, and by the End Date listed below, Mitch McConnell is recorded as Yea or Nay in a published Senate roll call vote tally.
- McConnell being recorded as "Not voting" in such a vote will not cause this market to resolve to Yes.
Votes in committee markup or business meetings or any other votes in which proxy voting is allowed shall have no impact on the resolution of this market.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 09/30/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 49%. As cotações diferem cerca de 48 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 49% · 2 plataformas · 48 pt de dispersao entre venues
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio17%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 600,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,9 mi
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 mais resultados
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 bi
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt53.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt42.7%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt1.9%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.5pt36.8%
- Édouard Philippe29.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+38 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom12.9%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 181 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 390,2 mil
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- North Carolina Senate winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30??
- A PredictIt cota No em 75% em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30? é resolvido?
- Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30? é liquidado?
- A PredictIt liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on July 22, 2026, and by the End Date listed below, Mitch McConnell is recorded as Yea or Nay in a published Senate roll call vote tally.
- Onde mais Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.