Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
Trade PolicyOne-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição1m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 71%
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
749,9 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
11.0% / 55.0%
Spread
44.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
28/07/26, 15:45 UTC3/11/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
KalshiUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWill Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWhen will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
KalshiUS effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
KalshiTrump announces Canada tariff decrease by which date?
PolymarketRegras
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing a tariff of 100% or greater specifically on imported generic pharmaceutical products before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The action must specify an effective date, but it does not need to be before Nov 3, 2026.
- Exemptions or reduced rates for particular products, companies, or countries do not prevent qualification.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
Mercados abertos
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Yes+0.3pt91%
- No-0.3pt9%
- Volume total
- € 228,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,4 mil
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition-1.0pt80.4%
- $600 billion to $899 billion4.5%
- $10 billion to $99 billion-0.2pt4.5%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs+5.0pt91%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs57%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 24,8 mil
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt25%
- October 31-0.5pt11%
- September 30-1.4pt2%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWhat will Nike say during their next earnings call?
- Tariff93%
- Supply Chain-1.0pt89%
- Sustainable+2.0pt87%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIRhode Island average residential electricity price in 2026
- Above 28.0¢/kWh91%
- Above 28.5¢/kWh88%
- Above 29.0¢/kWh+3.0pt79%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 50,5 mil
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Trump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?
- Canada becomes EU Associate Member by which date?
- US tariff revenue for 2026
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms??
- A Kalshi cota No em 71% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms? é resolvido?
- Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing a tariff of 100% or greater specifically on imported generic pharmaceutical products before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.