Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
Trade PolicyOne-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição3m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualNão 59%
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
15,3 €
Liquidez
15,3 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
41.0% / 44.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 37 minutos
28/07/26, 15:453/11/26, 4:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes41%
Tendência de volume
$1728 de jul.2d de dados29 de jul.
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If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing a tariff of 100% or greater specifically on imported generic pharmaceutical products before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The action must specify an effective date, but it does not need to be before Nov 3, 2026.
- Exemptions or reduced rates for particular products, companies, or countries do not prevent qualification.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.