KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Before Oct 1, 2026 (86%)
Resolvido: 24 de set. de 2026, 19:34
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 24 de set. de 2026, 18:57 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Before Oct 1, 202686%
Before Nov 1, 202649%
Before Dec 1, 2026Perdeu
Before Jan 1, 2027Perdeu
Before Nov 1, 2026Perdeu
Before Oct 1, 2026Ganhou
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdeu
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FutuurAtivos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
Regras arquivadas no nível do evento. Os termos exatos de cada resultado não estão mais disponíveis.
If the United States and China reach a new mutual tariff agreement, publicly announced or confirmed by both governments after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- An extension, modification, or replacement of the tariff truce in effect at Issuance qualifies as a new mutual tariff agreement.
- A qualifying agreement must address tariff rates or tariff suspensions; agreements limited to other trade matters do not count.
- Unilateral tariff actions do not count, even if the other side declines to respond.
- Reports that negotiations are ongoing, near completion, or agreed in principle by only one side do not count.
- An agreement qualifies once reached and confirmed by both governments, regardless of when it takes effect.