PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 89%+0.8pt
Qualidade do mercado
74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
196,7 €
Liquidez
43,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
89.2% / 89.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-1.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
29/05/26, 13:14 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
- The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
- Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 113,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 9,4 mil
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Volume total
- € 6,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,3 mil
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,1 mil
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 mais resultados
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US x China tariff agreement by December 31??
- A Polymarket cota Yes em 89% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US x China tariff agreement by December 31? é resolvido?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como US x China tariff agreement by December 31? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Onde mais US x China tariff agreement by December 31? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Limitless.