PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualSim 89%+0.0%
Qualidade do mercado
91 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
680 €
Liquidez
29,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
87.9% / 89.1%
Spread
1.4%
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+4.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
29/05/26, 13:1431/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes89%
Tendência de volume
$7743 de jul.24d de dados26 de jul.
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
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US x China tariff agreement by July 31?
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Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
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Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
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Tariff increase on Canada in effect by which date?
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Will the United States impose additional tariffs on China by December 31, 2026?
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What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
- The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
- Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.