Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
EconomiaOne-OffChinaGeopolíticaMacro e economia13aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 63.6%
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Atualizado há 9 minutos
18/02/22, 20:40 UTC1/01/40, 05:00 UTC
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This question resolves to YES if China surpasses the United States before January 1st 2040 Eastern Time on ALL three of the following metrics:
- Nominal GDP per the International Monetary Fund.
- If the IMF ceases to exist or stops publishing figures, I'll choose another organization at my discretion.
- Military expenditures per the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.
- If the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute ceases to exist or stops publishing figures, I'll choose another organization at my discretion.
- The Nature Index.
