Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 93.1%
Previsores
39
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado26/03/23, 11:07 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the US enter a recession in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTakeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028?
Manifold MarketsLeap: ECI record beaten by >= 9 points before 2028?
Manifold MarketsDoes Nectome's preservation protocol work?
Manifold MarketsAverage annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC
FutuurRegras
Stanley Druckenmiller (famous trader) said this in an interview (14:20) (recorded mid-year 2022)
- We've had a hurricane behind us for 30 or 40 years and now it's reversing, and I won't be surprised, in fact it's my central thesis that in 10 years the dow [jones industrial average] won't be much higher than it is today.
- So he seems pretty confident.
- Mid-year 2022 DJI price: 3100.
- 'A little higher': +20% = 3720
- YES = DJI < 3720 on July 1st 2032
