Will China ever surpass US gdp?

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Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will China ever surpass US gdp??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 63.6% em 25 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will China ever surpass US gdp? é resolvido?

Will China ever surpass US gdp? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2102.

Como Will China ever surpass US gdp? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Sep 5, 9:58am: Resolves NO if China is passed as the second largest economy (or if either China &/ the US cease to exist)

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POLYMARKET

US recession by end of 2026?

• No-0.5pt91.1%
• Yes+0.5pt8.9%

Volume total

€ 2,1 mi

Volume 24h

€ 19,2 mil

KALSHI

October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP

• U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k16%
• U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k+11.0pt9%
• U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above

KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No95.5%
• Yes+2.0pt4.5%

Volume total

€ 3,3 mi

Volume 24h

€ 15 mil

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No79.5%
• Yes20.5%

Volume total

€ 668,1 mil

Volume 24h

€ 13,4 mil

KALSHI

Unemployment in October

• Above 3.8%98.5%
• Above 3.7%99.5%
• Above 3.9%98%

KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in October

• Above 2.7%44.5%
• Above 2.6%49.5%
• Above 2.8%37%

• South Africa unemployment rate in Q3
• US economic state at the end of 2026?
• CPI in October
• CPI in December
• CPI YoY in December
• Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• Core CPI YoY in December
• China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
• US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• US jobs revisions in the report covering October 2026
• China Annual GDP Growth 2026
• How high will US unemployment go in 2026?