What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan?
Geopolítica
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
China launches military drills around Taiwan 92%Líder entre 109 opções
Previsores
37
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 23 horas
Desatualizado29/01/25, 16:25 UTC1/01/00, 22:59 UTC
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This question resolves once China invades Taiwan.
- The statements that are relevant as warning signs to the invasion of Taiwan, and refer to things that occurred in the 12 months prior to the date of the invasion (or overlap significantly with this period) and up until 48 hours before the invasion start time, resolve as YES.
- The statements must be at least adjacent to Taiwan or connected to significant geopolitical players with China/Taiwan interests.
- Events that could heighten global tensions, be broadly disruptive or are significant historical events are also acceptable.
- This includes but is not limited to major technological developments and catastrophes.
- In the context of this question, the invasion start time is considered to be the first moment a soldier from the Chinese mainland sets foot on the main island of Taiwan as part of an invasion force.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan??
- A Manifold Markets cota China launches military drills around Taiwan em 92% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan? é resolvido?
- What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2100.
- Como What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This question resolves once China invades Taiwan.