PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 72.3%-0.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
82 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
28,6 mil €
Liquidez
49,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
27.0% / 28.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-5.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
24/07/26, 21:54 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Philippines between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as melee weapons, missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Philippine military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however, Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) is not.