China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026
GeopolíticaOne-OffChina3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.8%
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17
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Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado23/11/25, 07:58 UTC15/12/26, 07:54 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES only if:
- • Chinese and Japanese military or paramilitary forces (PLA, JMSDF/JGSDF/JASDF, China Coast Guard, Japan Coast Guard) engage in direct armed or physical confrontation, and
- • At least one person from one side is physically injured or killed by the actions of the other side.
- Cross-party requirement:
- • Injuries or deaths must be caused by the opposing side.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 93% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026 é resolvido?
- China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 15 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria