LimitlessVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 78.5%
Não 78.5%Qualidade do mercado
30 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
25/08/26, 13:55 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Philippines between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as melee weapons, missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Philippine military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however, Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) is not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência entre plataformas da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 21%. A dispersão entre plataformas é de cerca de 1 ponto percentual.
Referencia CoinRithm 21% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues