Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 72%
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1,039
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
24/05/22, 01:01 UTC1/01/30, 04:59 UTC
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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11480/chinese-invasion-of-taiwan/
- Update 2025-05-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that this market's resolution will be determined by the linked Metaculus market.
- Resolution Source: This market will resolve as the Metaculus question Chinese Invasion of Taiwan resolves.
- Guidance on Specific Scenarios: For inquiries regarding specific scenarios, such as whether a 'massive, successful blockade' would count, the resolution criteria and any clarifications on the linked Metaculus market should be consulted, as this market will follow its determination.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de A China vai lançar uma invasão em grande escala de Taiwan antes de 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 72% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando A China vai lançar uma invasão em grande escala de Taiwan antes de 2030? é resolvido?
- A China vai lançar uma invasão em grande escala de Taiwan antes de 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como A China vai lançar uma invasão em grande escala de Taiwan antes de 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11480/chinese-invasion-of-taiwan/