If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleiçãoGeopolíticaChina3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 67.9%
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado15/09/24, 16:49 UTC31/12/29, 05:59 UTC
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Resolves according to this question if Trump is elected in 2024, otherwise NA.
- https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10880/china-to-invade-taiwan-before-2030/