Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?
One-OffGeopolíticaChinaPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 96.8%
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113
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado9/03/24, 22:01 UTC3/11/26, 22:59 UTC
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If Trump wins the US 2024 election, will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? For the purpose of this market, an invasion is defined as any military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.
- This market resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 election or if China invades Taiwan before the 2024 election.
- Biden market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/if-biden-wins-will-china-invade-tai
- Update 2025-12-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A blockade alone would not count as an invasion for the purposes of this market.
- An invasion requires a military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 97% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? é resolvido?
- Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Trump wins the US 2024 election, will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? For the purpose of this market, an invasion is defined as any military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.