LimitlessVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 97.7%
Não 97.7%Qualidade do mercado
30 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
20/01/26, 18:09 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan before 2027
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PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 2%.
Referencia CoinRithm 2% · 2 plataformas · 0 pt de dispersao entre venues