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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Fed
  3. Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

FedOne-OffPolíticaUS Politics6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before 2027
Before 2027 13%
Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

1,7 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

13.0% / 15.0%

Spread

15.4%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

12/01/26, 15:001/01/27, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Before 202713%

PolymarketTambém disponível em Polymarket

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

1.4%6m
December 31
December 31
-0.5%22%
June 30
June 30
-1.4%4%
44 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploLiquidez média
Volume total14,3 mil €
Volume 24h37,8 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regras

If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
  • The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
  • This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Regras

If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
  • The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
  • This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.