KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualBefore Jan 1, 2030 9%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
2,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 26 minutos
22/07/26, 15:351/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Before Jan 1, 20272%
Comparar plataformas· Before Jan 1, 2030
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral86% de correspondência · auto | Média | 9% | — | 222,8 € | 25 mil € | há 6 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Baixa | 9% | — | 0 € | 2,8 mil € | há 26 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Warsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
5m
9%
5%
64 • Qualidade médiaSpread apertadoAlta liquidez
Volume total4,7 mil €
Volume 24h222,8 €
POLYMARKETRegras
If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$2522 de jul.6d de dados27 de jul.
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If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.