KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.
Aguardando resolução verificada
A CoinRithm aguarda uma liquidação confirmada pelo provedor antes de tratar este mercado como resolvido.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2028 15%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
17,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
22/07/26, 15:26 UTC1/09/26, 13:27 UTC
Tendências
15%
12%
2%
1%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiKevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by which date?
PolymarketWarsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
PolymarketTrump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
- The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
- This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.
Mercados abertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.5%
- No change43.6%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 74,3 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.8%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt45.8%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,8 mil
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.3%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume total
- € 61,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 21,5 mil
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase67.3%
- No change30.7%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh??
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 1, 2028 em 15% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh? é resolvido?
- Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.