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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Fed
  3. Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

0.1% (24h)FedOne-OffPolítica6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh 88%
Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado

40 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

6,1 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

1.6% / 13.8%

Spread

762.5%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+0.7%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 minutos

20/01/26, 13:3131/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Kevin Hassett
Kevin Hassett
0%
Kevin Hassett
Kevin Hassett
0%
Rick Rieder
Rick Rieder
0%
Rick Rieder
Rick Rieder
0%

Resultado escolhido

Kevin Warsh88%

Regras

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of who will be confirmed as the next Fed Chair and whether the Fed’s lower bound will reach 2.5% or lower (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027) at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Other” if an outcome not listed occurs within the specified timeframe.
  • This market may resolve as soon as the respective conditions are met.
  • The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
  • Who be confirmed as the next Fed Chair? This market will resolve according to the next individual confirmed by the U.S.
  • Senate to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,664.74+2.35%EthereumETH$1,650.73+1.66%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.67%

Mercados Relacionados

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

17,9 €
Before Dec 1, 2026: 31%KalshiKALSHI
Lisa Cook departure announced?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

0,1 €
Before Jan 2027: 15%KalshiKALSHI
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

0 €
Before 2027: 13%KalshiKALSHI
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

166,3 mil €
0 (0: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

88,2 mil €
Sim: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

72,4 mil €
Sim: 52%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Ativos nestes tópicos

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.78%BNBBNB$595.52+1.68%XRPXRP$1.12+0.33%CardanoADA$0.166+3.29%HyperliquidHYPE$55.10-0.30%AvalancheAVAX$6.59+1.37%

Notícias Relacionadas

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsFormer Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsRussia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Regras

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of who will be confirmed as the next Fed Chair and whether the Fed’s lower bound will reach 2.5% or lower (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027) at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Other” if an outcome not listed occurs within the specified timeframe.
  • This market may resolve as soon as the respective conditions are met.
  • The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
  • Who be confirmed as the next Fed Chair? This market will resolve according to the next individual confirmed by the U.S.
  • Senate to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.