Probabilidade implícita atual
Kevin Warsh 95%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
6,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.7 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
20/01/26, 13:29 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
KalshiDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsKevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiWarsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
PolymarketFed rate cut before 2027?
KalshiRegras
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of who will be confirmed as the next Fed Chair and whether the Fed’s lower bound will reach 2.5% or lower (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027) at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- This market will resolve to “Other” if an outcome not listed occurs within the specified timeframe.
- This market may resolve as soon as the respective conditions are met.
- The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
- Who be confirmed as the next Fed Chair? This market will resolve according to the next individual confirmed by the U.S. Senate to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Confirmation is defined as approval by the U.S. Senate, whether by a majority vote or by unanimous consent.
Mercados abertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 35 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair?
- A Polymarket cota Kevin Warsh em 95% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair é resolvido?
- Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of who will be confirmed as the next Fed Chair and whether the Fed’s lower bound will reach 2.5% or lower (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027) at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.