KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 92%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
29,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
4.2% / 7.9%
Spread
3.7 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
21/11/24, 15:00 UTC20/01/29, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?
KalshiWhich Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
KalshiWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
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KalshiRegras
If a bill has become law which has abolished or dissolved the Federal Reserve Board of Governors and its constituent reserve banks before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The bill need not take effect before January 20, 2029 to be included in the Payout Criterion.
Mercados abertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 35 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump end the Federal Reserve??
- A Kalshi cota No em 92% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump end the Federal Reserve? é resolvido?
- Will Trump end the Federal Reserve? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Trump end the Federal Reserve? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If a bill has become law which has abolished or dissolved the Federal Reserve Board of Governors and its constituent reserve banks before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.