KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Dot Plot Omitted 38%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
57 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
864,3 €
Liquidez
12,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
5/05/26, 14:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?
KalshiWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next chairman of the federal reserve board?
Manifold MarketsWill Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
FutuurWill Trump end the Federal Reserve?
KalshiRegras
If a Summary of Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- If the Federal Reserve Chair does not hold a press conference following a regularly scheduled Federal Open Market Committee meeting after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Board of Governors removes a Federal Reserve Bank president from office after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,6 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt49.5%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt43.5%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 543,8 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt2%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.9pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.6pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,6 mi
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken??
- A Kalshi cota Dot Plot Omitted em 38% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken? é resolvido?
- Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If a Summary of Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.