KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 100%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
2,1 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
0.4% / 3.2%
Spread
2.8 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
21/11/24, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
100%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
KalshiWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
KalshiWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
FutuurRegras
If the Federal Reserve System has ended before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt63.4%
- No change-9.0pt35.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 96,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,4 mi
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+7.0pt62.4%
- Fed maintains rate-10.0pt34.6%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 37,4 mi
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt58.1%
- Fed maintains rate35.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.3%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 384,1 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+1.4pt6%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.6pt1%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 80,4 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+4.5pt70%
- September Meeting+8.0pt63%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
- Fed Decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decision in September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027??
- A Kalshi cota No em 100% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Federal Reserve System has ended before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.