Europa

Next French Presidential Election

0.2 pt (24u)6mnd

Marine Le Pen-0.2pt40.4%

Édouard Philippe-2.0pt21.2%

David Lisnard+0.3pt13.1%

+39 extra uitkomsten

Hoge kwaliteit (≤89)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 148,8 mln.

24u volumeUS$ 561,4K

POLYMARKET

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

4.5 pt (24u)2mnd

December 31-4.5pt21%

October 31-1.0pt8%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (≤74)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 8,7 mln.

24u volumeUS$ 177,6K

POLYMARKET

Sanchez vs Meabe

13d

Ana Sofia SanchezOpgeslagen referentie78%Verzameltijd onbekendOpgeslagen 24u-historie

Sofia MeabeOpgeslagen referentie23%Verzameltijd onbekend

Hoge kwaliteit (87)Gematigde spreadHoge open interest

Totaal volumeUS$ 885,3K

24u volumeUS$ 883,4K

KALSHI

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

2.0 pt (24u)1j

Alberto Núñez Feijóo-2.0pt78.4%

Pedro Sánchez-0.2pt16.7%

Santiago Abascal+0.3pt2%

+13 extra uitkomsten

Hoge kwaliteit (≤89)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,7 mln.

24u volumeUS$ 205,4K

POLYMARKET

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?

2.0 pt (24u)2mnd

December 31, 2027+2.0pt48%

June 30, 2027+16.5pt42%

March 31, 202721%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (≤74)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 2,8 mln.

24u volumeUS$ 8,4K

POLYMARKET

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

0.1 pt (24u)14d

Aleksandar Vučić+0.1pt65%

Ilija Srdanović-1.5pt22%

Vladan Đokić-0.9pt4%

+7 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (≤74)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 995,4K

24u volumeUS$ 25,8K

POLYMARKET

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by which date?

2.5 pt (24u)2mnd

December 31,+2.5pt22%

+1 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (74)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 833,3K

24u volumeUS$ 28,9K

POLYMARKET

Next leader out of power before 2027?

0.5 pt (24u)2mnd

None before 2027+0.5pt38.5%

Netanyahu - Israel PM25%

Sánchez - Spanish PM+0.3pt17.3%

+19 extra uitkomsten

Hoge kwaliteit (82)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 927,1K

24u volumeUS$ 7,4K

POLYMARKET

Bulgaria Presidential Election

14d

Iliana Iotova87.1%

Аndrey Gyurov12.9%

Atanas Atanasov0%

+11 extra uitkomsten

Hoge kwaliteit (87)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,1 mln.

24u volumeUS$ 5,6K

POLYMARKET

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

1.0 pt (24u)7mnd

Ulrich Siegmund+1.0pt82%

Sepp Müller2%

Sven Schulze-1.3pt2%

+9 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (≤74)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 447,1K

24u volumeUS$ 13,5K

POLYMARKET

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

0.6 pt (24u)8mnd

Jean-Luc Mélenchon-0.6pt94%

Marine Le Pen91%

Édouard Philippe91%

+43 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (≤74)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 520K

24u volumeUS$ 6,3K

POLYMARKET

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

2.5 pt (24u)6mnd

Marine Le Pen-2.5pt89%

Édouard Philippe-0.5pt46%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon+4.0pt41%

+33 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (≤74)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 333,6K

24u volumeUS$ 5,1K

POLYMARKET

Will any country leave NATO by which date?

0.6 pt (24u)2mnd

2026+0.6pt5%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (57)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,4 mln.

24u volumeUS$ 1,7K

POLYMARKET

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

1.0 pt (24u)18d

No change-1.0pt92.9%

25 bps increase+1.5pt7.1%

25 bps decrease0%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Hoge kwaliteit (77)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 522,2K

24u volumeUS$ 4K

POLYMARKET

Next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem

47.5 pt (24u)8mnd

Tomáš Vohryzka+47.5pt97%

Tomáš Hrubý-44.7pt3%

Michal Mohr-0.1pt0%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (72)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 21K

24u volumeUS$ 6,2K

POLYMARKET

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

11.0 pt (24u)1j

Independent/Technocrat-11.0pt61%

PSD-0.6pt12%

AUR3%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (69)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 328,4K

24u volumeUS$ 1,1K

POLYMARKET

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

1.5 pt (24u)7mnd

Elif Eralp-1.5pt77.5%

Stefan Evers21.4%

Werner Graf+0.3pt1%

+2 extra uitkomsten

CoinRithm-referentieElif Eralp76%· 3 pt spreiding tussen venues

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (61)Brede spreadHoge liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 220,1K

24u volumeUS$ 1,1K

POLYMARKET

Will US withdraw from NATO by which date?

0.1 pt (24u)2mnd

December 31-0.1pt3%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (67)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 6,3 mln.

24u volumeUS$ 253,5

POLYMARKET

Macron out by which date?

0.6 pt (24u)2mnd

December-0.6pt3%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (64)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 2,2 mln.

24u volumeUS$ 309,5

POLYMARKET

EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?

20d

30M+96%

31M+90%

32M+-3.0pt87%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (68)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 34,6K

24u volumeUS$ 1,3K

POLYMARKET

Next Mayor of Hradec Králové

56.5 pt (24u)8mnd

Pavlína Springerová+56.5pt89.9%

Lukáš Fiedler-31.3pt6.1%

Jan Holásek-2.5pt1%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Hoge kwaliteit (76)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 9,4K

24u volumeUS$ 2,7K

POLYMARKET

Will Russia invade another country by which date?

1j

202716%

20266%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (66)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 604,4K

24u volumeUS$ 441,2

POLYMARKET

Russia military action against EU country by which date?

2.5 pt (24u)1j

2027+2.5pt24%

202610%

+1 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (67)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 247,2K

24u volumeUS$ 882,9

POLYMARKET

France United Left Primary Winner

0.8 pt (24u)16u

Canceled-0.8pt97.9%

Clémentine Autain-0.1pt1.1%

François Ruffin1.1%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (72)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 237,8K

24u volumeUS$ 730,2

POLYMARKET

NATO downs another Russian drone by which date?

3.5 pt (24u)20d

October 31-3.5pt28%

October 15+9.5pt19%

September 30-0.1pt4%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (57)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 7,6K

24u volumeUS$ 1,3K

POLYMARKET

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

6mnd

François Hollande60%

Dominique de Villepin53%

Bernard Cazeneuve-17.0pt21%

+18 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (70)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 109,9K

24u volumeUS$ 959

POLYMARKET

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

2mnd

Ja5%

Nee95%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (72)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 174,6K

24u volumeUS$ 538,4

POLYMARKET

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

2mnd

Ja8.9%

Nee91.1%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (71)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 155,2K

24u volumeUS$ 550

POLYMARKET

Another NATO article 4 by which date?

0.5 pt (24u)2mnd

December 31+0.5pt27%

October 31-0.5pt7%

+1 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (59)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 180,6K

24u volumeUS$ 258,4

POLYMARKET

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

5.8 pt (24u)3mnd

0-1.0%+5.8pt50%

1.0-2.0%45.1%

6.0-7.0%+0.5pt2%

+6 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (71)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 57,2K

24u volumeUS$ 828

POLYMARKET

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

8.6 pt (24u)1j

PSD + UDMR+8.6pt17%

PSD+1.1pt14%

PSD + PNL + UDMR11%

+29 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (73)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 53,9K

24u volumeUS$ 724,1

POLYMARKET

EU lifts ban on Russian diesel imports by which date?

2.0 pt (24u)2mnd

December 31-2.0pt9%

October 31-2.5pt2%

Lage kwaliteit (47)Brede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 2,5K

24u volumeUS$ 1,2K

POLYMARKET

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

1j

PSD49%

UDMR-3.5pt45%

PNL36%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (66)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 43,5K

24u volumeUS$ 581,4

POLYMARKET

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by which date?

0.4 pt (24u)2mnd

December 31+0.4pt3%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (61)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 27,9K

24u volumeUS$ 784,1

POLYMARKET

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026

4.0 pt (24u)18d

0.8-1.1%-4.0pt55.5%

1.2-1.5%+5.7pt29.7%

0.4-0.7%-1.7pt9.9%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (62)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 68,4K

24u volumeUS$ 262,5

POLYMARKET

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

0.1 pt (24u)2mnd

Ja8%+0.1pt

Nee92%-0.1pt

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (74)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 23,2K

24u volumeUS$ 407,4

POLYMARKET

Next Mayor of Pardubice

8mnd

Jan Nadrchal75.9%

Jakub Rychtecký-30.0pt8%

Ondřej Tichý7.1%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (57)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 11,3K

24u volumeUS$ 781,3

POLYMARKET

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

2.5 pt (24u)2mnd

Ja44.5%-2.5pt

Nee55.5%+2.5pt

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (52)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 15,4K

24u volumeUS$ 304,3

POLYMARKET

Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by which date?

4.0 pt (24u)2mnd

March 31-4.0pt35%

December 31+3.0pt25%

October 31+0.5pt14%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (62)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 8,9K

24u volumeUS$ 479

POLYMARKET

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?

1.5 pt (24u)1j

2027-1.5pt85%

July 31, 2027+18.5pt44%

2026-0.1pt3%

Lage kwaliteit (41)Brede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 8,5K

24u volumeUS$ 444,3

POLYMARKET

Canada becomes EU Associate Member by which date?

6.0 pt (24u)8mnd

2027-6.0pt34%

June 30, 2027-8.0pt18%

2026+0.3pt4%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (60)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 6,7K

24u volumeUS$ 554

POLYMARKET

Nothing Ever Happens: October

20d

Nothing93%

Something7%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (62)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 6,3K

24u volumeUS$ 565

POLYMARKET

IEA asks France to release oil stocks by which date?

2mnd

December 3130%

October 31-1.0pt18%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (64)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 3,7K

24u volumeUS$ 846,9

POLYMARKET

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

0.1 pt (24u)2mnd

Ja3%+0.1pt

Nee97%-0.1pt

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (65)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 634,9K

24u volumeUS$ 124,1

POLYMARKET

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

1.5 pt (24u)2mnd

Ja6.9%+1.5pt

Nee93.1%-1.5pt

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (67)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 6,9K

24u volumeUS$ 260

POLYMARKET

UK social media ban in effect by which date?

10.0 pt (24u)8mnd

June 30, 2027-10.0pt63%

December 31, 202616%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (59)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 4,2K

24u volumeUS$ 376

POLYMARKET

NATO article 5 before 2027?

0.1 pt (24u)2mnd

Ja5%-0.1pt

Nee95%+0.1pt

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (72)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 267,5K

24u volumeUS$ 158,3

POLYMARKET

Romanian parliament dissolved by which date?

2mnd

December 3132%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (31)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 116K

24u volumeUS$ 140

POLYMARKET

Gerelateerde Crypto-assets

Next French Presidential Election

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

Sanchez vs Meabe

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by which date?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Will any country leave NATO by which date?

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

Next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Will US withdraw from NATO by which date?

Macron out by which date?

EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?

Next Mayor of Hradec Králové

Will Russia invade another country by which date?

Russia military action against EU country by which date?

France United Left Primary Winner

NATO downs another Russian drone by which date?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Another NATO article 4 by which date?

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

EU lifts ban on Russian diesel imports by which date?

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by which date?

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

Next Mayor of Pardubice

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by which date?

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?

Canada becomes EU Associate Member by which date?

Nothing Ever Happens: October

IEA asks France to release oil stocks by which date?

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

UK social media ban in effect by which date?

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Romanian parliament dissolved by which date?

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