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AfD minority government 43.3%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
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13
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
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Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd7 sep 26, 02:27 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiIf nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?
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Manifold MarketsNext Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiSaxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?
PolymarketWill Saxony-Anhalt call a snap election in 2026?
KalshiRegels
Resolves to whichever configuration the next minister president (if any) takes the oath of office under, regardless of how long they remain in office.
- If there is ambiguity about whether an agreement between parties is a coalition or just a tolerated minority government, I'll resolve to "coalition" if there is any form of publicly signed contract between the parties, regardless of whether they call it a coalition contract.
- If somebody is voted into the office of minister president without such a contract being public, that resolves to "minority government" for the party of the minister president.