Will Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
1.0 ptn (24u)One-OffGeopolitiekRussia / UkraineEurope3mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
December 31, 6%-1.0ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
69 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 959,1
Liquiditeit
€ 57,8K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
64
7d wijziging
-0.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 minuten geleden
28 mei 25, 22:16 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
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Voor sluiting: 0% ·
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PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country between May 28 and the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
- Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
