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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Geopolitiek
  3. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

1.0% (24u)One-OffGeopolitiekRussia / Ukraine6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
December 31
December 31 46%
Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

73 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 17K

Liquiditeit

€ 214,1K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

5.0% / 6.0%

Spread

20.0%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

+0.5%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden

13 mei 26, 3:3531 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
May 31
May 31
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

December 3146%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
  • A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date.
  • Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
  • Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
  • A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date.
  • Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
  • Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.