Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 23 jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingMay 31 0%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt eergisteren
Verouderd16 mei 26, 16:1431 dec 26, 23:59
Trends
0%
0%
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
October 3114%
Platforms vergelijken· December 31
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste algemeen88% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Hoog | 36% | — | € 37,4K | € 208K | 12 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| Polymarket88% overeenkomst · auto | Gemiddeld | 25% | — | € 4,7K | € 129,2K | 12 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold MarketsDeze pagina | — | 21% | — | — | — | eergisteren |
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
0.5%5mnd
25%
+0.5%13%
0%
+1 extra uitkomsten
73 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 797,3K
24u volume€ 4,7K
POLYMARKETOok beschikbaar op Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
3.5%5mnd
-0.5%36%
-3.5%19%
-0.5%8%
+2 extra uitkomsten
89 • Hoge kwaliteitGematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 5 mln.
24u volume€ 37,4K
POLYMARKETRegels
Follows resolution of https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine goes into effect by 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET) on the specified date and remains continuously in effect for at least 10 calendar days.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A ceasefire refers to any mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries, and which constitutes a general suspension of direct kinetic military engagement across the primary theater of the overall conflict.
- A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause (including holiday ceasefires) will count provided they otherwise qualify under this market’s rules.
- Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire.
- Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$2.0k90.6%POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? — NoLamantinka3 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? — NoLamantinka3 dgn geleden$1.1k60.0%POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? — Novladius321 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? — Novladius321 dgn geleden$5.3k99.8%POLYMARKETNonedsta26 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETNonedsta26 dgn geledenVolumetrend
$6018 jul4d aan data23 jul
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Follows resolution of https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine goes into effect by 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET) on the specified date and remains continuously in effect for at least 10 calendar days.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A ceasefire refers to any mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries, and which constitutes a general suspension of direct kinetic military engagement across the primary theater of the overall conflict.
- A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause (including holiday ceasefires) will count provided they otherwise qualify under this market’s rules.
- Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire.
- Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.