Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31? [Polymarket]
GeopolitiekOne-OffRusland / Oekraïne2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 09:52 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85%
Voorspellers
26
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd13 mei 26, 21:17 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Will be resolved the same as the similar Polymarket question.
- Polymarket description:
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
- A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date.