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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Geopolitiek
  3. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

1.3% (24u)One-OffGeopolitiekMiddle East18d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
September 30
September 30 34%+5.0%
Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

89 / 100

Hoge kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 151,7K

Liquiditeit

€ 165K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

13.0% / 13.8%

Spread

6.2%

Gematigde spread
7d wijziging

+6.5%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden

16 mrt 26, 18:4430 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
March 31
March 31
0%
April 30
April 30
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

September 3034%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.
  • If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
  • Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying.
  • Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,701.00+1.92%EthereumETH$1,652.96+1.39%SolanaSOL$65.13+0.87%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.19%XRPXRP$1.12-0.28%BNBBNB$595.50+1.31%

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.
  • If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
  • Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying.
  • Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.