PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
December 31 8%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
74 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 82,6K
Liquiditeit
€ 576,7K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
0.1 pt
Strakke spreadComments
514
7d wijziging
-0.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 minuten geleden
14 mrt 26, 0:251 jan 27, 4:59
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by the named outcome, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
