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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Geopolitiek
  3. Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

1.7% (24u)One-OffGeopolitiekMiddle East18d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 5%+0.0%
Marktkwaliteit

73 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 19,1K

Liquiditeit

€ 29,9K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

4.5% / 5.4%

Spread

20.0%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

+1.6%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden

6 jan 26, 19:4530 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes5%

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership.
  • Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
  • Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
  • Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership.
  • Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
  • Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
  • Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.