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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Fed
  3. Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

2.0% (24u)FedGeopolitiekOne-OffCrime & Justice6mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Tim Walz
Tim Walz 28%-2.0%
Koploper van 25 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

44 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 35,8

Liquiditeit

€ 2,8K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

24.0% / 28.0%

Spread

16.7%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden

2 dec 25, 1:001 jan 27, 4:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Tim Walz28%

Regels

If James Comey has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Charges filed in military courts are included.
  • The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.
  • Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
  • Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
  • Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

If James Comey has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Charges filed in military courts are included.
  • The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.
  • Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
  • Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
  • Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.